Economy, Finance and Trade: Hungary

May 2024

In 2023, Hungary’s economy contracted, hindered by sluggish consumption and investment, as well as high inflation. However, an economic recovery is expected in 2024, supported by rising foreign investment, lower commodity prices and improved financing conditions. In addition, the release of money from the EU’s Cohesion Fund after Hungary’s judicial reforms is predicted to stimulate economic growth and provide some relief to the public finances.

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Overview:

The Country Briefings series examine market potential, economic and consumer trends impacting each country and how they are set to change.

Each Country Briefing covers one of these topics:

Economy, Finance and Trade: Understanding the structure, health and potential risks of an economy are important for decision-making within an existing operating environment as well as for expansion strategies. Real GDP growth, inflation and exchange rate fluctuations will directly impact consumer market potential. Import and export trade profiles help gauge how open an economy is to trade and investment, while analysis of government finances can be used to explore macroeconomic stability and susceptibility to economic shocks.

Income and Expenditure: Insights into income, wealth and expenditure of consumers are vital in helping businesses make strategic decisions with regards to which country (or even which region within a country) to enter, which consumer segment to target, which products or services to market, and at which price point. Other factors such as the size and expansion of the middle class and income inequality are also important in helping companies gauge the potential of a country market.

Households: Global shifts in gender, ageing, migration and housing are transforming the size, location,  general make-up as well as income and expenditure of households around the globe, with diverse implications for governments and companies. Households insights can help identify the decision-making processes and consumption tastes of different household groups and types within a country, and assess household appliance and digital readiness that is key for formulating market technology and internet strategies.

Business Dynamics: A stable and competitive business environment is vital to operate efficiently and attract inward investment. Businesses can assess these factors alongside challenges such as corruption, political instability and terrorism, also gain insight into business operating environment and make strategic investment decisions. Transport infrastructure, ICT readiness and labour force dynamics will also identify potential issues with a supply chain and the level of workforce skills.

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The briefings cover 103 countries and identify topics of crucial interest to planners, marketers and researchers.

Economy, Finance and Trade: Hungary

HEADLINES

The economy set for recovery, boosted by foreign investment and EU funds
Hungary’s high inflation to ease in 2024
Significant investment in the electric vehicle industry to boost export growth
Hungary is predicted to tighten its fiscal policy to address fiscal challenges

COUNTRY RISK ANALYSIS

Chart 1 Economic Landscape of Hungary 2023-2028
Chart 2 Real GDP Growth in Hungary 2010-2028
Chart 3 GDP Size and Growth 2018-2028
Chart 4 Gross Value Added by Sector in Hungary 2023
Chart 5 Domestic Demand 2023 and Period Growth 2018-2023
Chart 6 Standardised Business Confidence Index 2018-2025
Chart 7 Standardised Consumer Confidence Index 2018-2025
Chart 8 Productivity 2018/2023
Chart 9 Productivity by Sector in Hungary 2023 and CAGR 2018-2023
Chart 10 Monetary Landscape of Hungary 2023
Chart 11 Inflation 2018-2028
Chart 12 Average Inflation 2018-2028
Chart 13 Interest Rates in Hungary 2018-2025
Chart 14 Exchange Rates 2018-2025
Chart 15 Money Supply Growth and Money Velocity in Hungary 2018-2025
Chart 16 Foreign Trade Landscape of Hungary 2023
Chart 17 Exports and Export Price Index in Hungary 2018-2023
Chart 18 Exports by Commodity in Hungary 2023
Chart 19 Top 10 Export Destinations 2023 and Period Growth 2018-2023
Chart 20 Imports and Import Price Index in Hungary 2018-2023
Chart 21 Imports by Commodity in Hungary 2023
Chart 22 Top 10 Import Origins 2023 and Period Growth 2018-2023
Chart 23 Investment Landscape of Hungary 2022-2023
Chart 24 Foreign Direct Investment Inflows and FDI intensity 2022
Chart 25 Foreign Direct Investment Inflows and Outflows in Hungary 2017-2022
Chart 26 Gross Fixed Capital Formation in Hungary 2018-2025
Chart 27 Government Budget Landscape of Hungary 2023
Chart 28 Public Debt 2023
Chart 29 Government Revenue 2023
Chart 30 Government Expenditure 2023
Chart 31 Government Expenditure by Economic Type in Hungary 2023
Chart 32 Government Expenditure by Function in Hungary 2023 and Period Growth 2018-2023
Chart 33 Baseline and Scenario Forecasts in Hungary 2022-2028
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