Global urbanisation is set to maintain momentum over the next decade, with cities in emerging Asia driving urban population and economic growth. A rapidly expanding middle class and rising consumer aspirations for improved lifestyles present lucrative opportunities for businesses to capitalise on. To thrive in these dynamic markets, companies must prioritise understanding shifting demands and tailor their products and services to effectively meet the needs of a diverse consumer base.
The US ports strike impacts international shipments and may have significant effects on the US economy. Prolonged disruptions risk causing significant shipment and supply delays for US manufacturers and increase logistics costs. Retailers and consumers, meanwhile, face potential supply disruptions during the busy shopping season, which could cause higher inflationary effects in Q4 2024.
The US is approaching a presidential election in November 2024. The outcome of the election will shape the country’s future fiscal, monetary and trade policies, which will in turn influence the growth trajectory of the world’s largest economy, while having spillover effects globally.
Ageing, urbanisation and health concerns are significant factors shaping global population trends. As populations age, we witness a rise in “super-aged” countries where seniors represent a substantial segment of consumers with considerable purchasing power. Meanwhile, Generation Z, though not yet affluent, wield considerable influence through numbers and heightened focus on values. Additionally, climate change now becomes a critical concern for consumers centred on health and wellbeing.
The Gulf Cooperation Council's (GCC) strong economic base, high urbanisation and strategic investments in non-oil sectors have positioned the region as a key player in global economic trends. With a GDP surpassing USD2 trillion in 2023 and continued growth driven by rising employment, particularly among women, the region is set to see increased consumer spending and a booming retail sector, especially in e-commerce.
An improving supply outlook and muted demand have eased pressures in the commodity markets. In 2024, weaker manufacturing activity in key markets is set to limit price growth for energy and metals, while robust crop forecasts should curb agrifood price increases.