The packaging industry records volume growth, driven principally by developing regions of Asia Pacific and Latin America as demand in Western Europe and North America has slowed under cost-of-living pressures. Improving design circularity across packaging materials to reduce environmental waste is a lead trend set to run through brand pack development and regulation. Adopting solutions that alleviate cost pressures, proffer efficiencies and engage will also resonate.
This report comes in PPT.
The consumer packaging industry saw retail unit volume increase by 1.4% in 2023, with demand exceeding 4 trillion packs for the first time. Cost-of-living and business pressures continue, with volume growth aided by the deployment of adapted pack types and sizes to alleviate the impact of inflation and higher operating costs, and improve affordability.
Packaging growth in Western Europe and North America was fairly flat, as inflation and geopolitical instability slowed consumer spend, while Asia Pacific consolidated on its regional leadership – China slowdown an outlier; India leads growth with strong drinks dynamics. Healthy lifestyle choices and essential safety of bottled water are key to PET bottle buoyancy.
Packaging’s winners and losers: pouches saw dynamism in 2023, with sales increasing by 4%. Its lightweight efficiency has seen it displace some rigids as a value pack and eco-solution, with mono-material specifications and recyclate use also growing. Glass was the weak spot, hit by a fall in spend on alcohol, although this was partly offset by 3% rises in soft drinks and beauty.
Two thirds of consumers are worried about climate change, and consider packaging a core action area to reduce climate impact. Prioritising pack design for recyclability, backed by collection and recycling, is necessary to reduce waste. Regulatory intervention is set to propel action, targeting recyclability and re-use. Inadequate progress risks costs from taxation, bans and reputation loss.
Paper-based substrates and metal packaging hold lead roles as plastic replacement challengers, offering materials that enjoy strong collection and re-use rates. Product consumption successes are another factor contributing to good fortunes. Metal beverage cans are forecast to record CAGRs of 5% or above globally over 2023-2028 in energy drinks, RTDs and imported lager.
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